Fox News (interviews): Episode, Jun 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Susan Collins say during The Story with Martha MacCallum?
Markets
10 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 52%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Graham / Platner | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Partisan / Bipartisan | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 29%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 47%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Federal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tax | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 29%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 29%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26JUN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP