Fox News (interviews): Episode, Jul 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crime / Criminal | Yes | 47%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 45%n=35 from settlement history | – |
| Gain of Function | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pardon / Pardoned | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | Yes | 33%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Diary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Leak / Leaked | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obama | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obstructing / Obstruction | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wuhan | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26JUL29B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP