Will “Stress event” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Stress event” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 24, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Stress event
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Stress event |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Stress event” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Stress event” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 24, 2025.
- What is the probability “Stress event” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Stress event’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/stress-event (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=stress%20event · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP