Will “Politics” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Politics” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Politics
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to conduct monetary policy in a way that doesn’t get pulled into politics, trying to help or hurt any particular politician or political party. It’s…
Honestly, I’d say a couple things. One is stay out of elected politics. Don’t get pulled into elected politics. Don’t do it. That’s another thing.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Politics |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Politics” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Politics” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Politics” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Politics’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/politic (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=politic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP