Will “Quantitative Tightening” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Quantitative Tightening” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 7, 2025.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 8¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Quantitative Tightening
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2025 | Quantitative Tightening |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Quantitative Tightening” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Quantitative Tightening” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 7, 2025.
- What is the probability “Quantitative Tightening” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Quantitative Tightening’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/quantitative-tightening (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=quantitative%20tightening · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP