Will “Task Force” be said 20+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Task Force” was not said 20+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Task Force 20+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
7 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
I’ve called for a task force to revisit both the private and public data we use to make our decisionmaking. That task force is out…
…am doing between now and Jackson Hole— is I’m checking with those task forces. My first principle of establishing a task force is—find the best…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Task Force 20+ times |  Polymarket | No | 7 |
Questions
- How often is “Task Force 20+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Task Force” was not said 20+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Task Force 20+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Task Force 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/task-force-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=task%20force%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP