Will “Percent” be said 15+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Percent” was not said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 24, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (15+, anyone) in 7.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Percent 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…federal funds rate by a ¼ percentage point to 3¾ to 4 percent, in support of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. The Committee is continuing…
…the target range for the federal funds rate at 3½ to 3¾ percent. The Committee is continuing its policy of making ample reserves in the…
…the target range for the fed funds rate at 3½ to 3¾ percent, in support of the Fed’s dual mandate. The Committee also reaffirmed its…
…monetary policy as appropriate to promote progress toward our maximum-employment and 2 percent inflation goals. Developments in the Middle East are contributing to a high…
…monetary policy as appropriate to promote progress toward our maximum-employment and 2 percent inflation goals. The implications of developments in the Middle East for the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Percent 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Percent 15+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Percent” was not said 15+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 24, 2025.
- What is the probability “Percent 15+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Percent 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/percent-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=percent%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP