Will “Growth” be said 10+ times at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Growth” was not said 10+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 18, 2024.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Growth 10+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 2 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…remains elevated—owing, in part, to geopolitical developments—domestic spending has been resilient. Productivity growth—strong; and capital investment is robust. Job gains have kept pace with the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…resilience. Even with recent shocks, the trends are positive and reveal solid growth. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that owes, in part, to the conflict in the Middle East. Productivity growth and capital investment—both strong. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…A good part of the slowing in the pace of the job growth over the past year reflects a decline in the growth of the…
…low. A good part of the slowing in the pace of job growth over the past year reflects a decline in the growth of the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | Growth 10+ times |  Polymarket | No | 10 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often is “Growth 10+ times” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Growth” was not said 10+ times at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 18, 2024.
- What is the probability “Growth 10+ times” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Growth 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/growth-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=growth%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP