Will “Job Market” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Job Market” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Job Market
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you need to push growth below potential, unintentionally pushing weakness on the job market to bring inflation down, and how do those dynamics play out,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…foster the economic conditions in which American families and businesses can thrive—stable prices, a strong job market, and a financial system they can depend on.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Great. And then just quickly follow on, the job market—you mentioned last month that the household survey might be distorted, and you also mentioned the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…employers like Amazon cite AI in job cuts. How much right now are you factoring in AI into the current weakness in the job market?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…Elizabeth Schulze with ABC News. What is your explanation for why the job market is weakening right now, and what will this rate cut do…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Job Market |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Job Market” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Job Market” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
- What is the probability “Job Market” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Job Market’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/job-market (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=job%20market · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP