Will “Powell” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Powell” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Powell
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Chair Powell, if I could ask about the inflation outlook. In March, you described the standard practice of “looking through” energy shocks as conditional on…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Nick Timiraos, Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, you’ve described monetary policy as modestly restrictive. If the unemployment rate is roughly stable, inflation moving sideways in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, you’ve generally avoided engaging with political controversies directly, and the video statement on January 11 was a…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Nick Timiraos of the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, there’s been some discussion recently of the 1990s. In the 1990s, the Committee did two discrete…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Nick Timiraos, the Wall Street Journal. Chair Powell, are you uncomfortable with how market pricing has assumed a rate cut is a foregone conclusion at…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Powell |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Powell” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Powell” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
- What is the probability “Powell” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Powell’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/powell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=powell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP