Will “Too late” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Too late” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 28, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Too late
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Too late |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Too late” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Too late” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “Too late” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Too late’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/too-late (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=too%20late · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP