Will “Step Down / Stepping Down” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Step Down / Stepping Down” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2025.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Step Down / Stepping Down
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…for one-time inflation waves to wash through and for underlying inflation to step down after so many years of inflation running above target? And under…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…you—would you need—do you need more assurance from the Justice Department before stepping down? Is that what you’re waiting for, or what else is going…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Step Down / Stepping Down |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Step Down / Stepping Down” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Step Down / Stepping Down” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 30, 2025.
- What is the probability “Step Down / Stepping Down” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Step Down / Stepping Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/step-down-or-stepping-down (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=step%20down%20%2F%20stepping%20down · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP