Will “Holding” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Holding” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Holding
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and the other eight members who wanted to hold? Was that a strong conviction, or was that a hair-trigger close call on holding versus tightening?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Thanks, Mr. Chairman. You started holding postmeeting press conferences for every meeting as opposed to the ones with just—with SEPs. Can you talk about why…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
So there was broad support on the Committee for holding today— “broad,” I would say, including among nonvoters. So that’s where that was. Of course,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…an ample supply of reserves over time. Such increases in our securities holdings ensure that the federal funds rate remains within its target range and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…lower our policy interest rate by ¼ percentage point. We also decided to conclude the reduction of our aggregate securities holdings as of December 1.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Holding |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Holding” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Holding” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability “Holding” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Holding’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/holding (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=holding · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP