Will “Supreme Court” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Supreme Court” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 5 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Supreme Court
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 5 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Quick follow-up. Is the Supreme Court ruling on Governor Cook a factor in when you may leave as a Governor?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…be a one-time effect? I don’t think we’ve seen you since the Supreme Court tariff decision, and it’s pretty clear that none of us know…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…explain why I didn’t attend. In addition, Paul Volcker went to a Supreme Court case famously in, I guess, 1985 or so, so it’s precedented,…
…Mr. Chairman. This is the last post-FOMC press conference before an important Supreme Court hearing next month. Can you talk about how you’re hoping the…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Supreme Court |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Supreme Court” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Supreme Court” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability “Supreme Court” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP