Will “Subpoena / Subpoenaed” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Subpoena / Subpoenaed” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 28, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, role: fed chair) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- role: fed chair
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Subpoena / Subpoenaed
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: role: fed chair
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…as part of that appeal to restart the investigation or send new subpoenas. I have said that I will not leave the Board until this…
Can you say whether the Fed has responded to the subpoenas?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Subpoena / Subpoenaed |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Subpoena / Subpoenaed” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Subpoena / Subpoenaed” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability “Subpoena / Subpoenaed” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: role: fed chair.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Subpoena / Subpoenaed’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/subpoena-or-subpoenaed (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=subpoena%20%2F%20subpoenaed · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP