Will “Stock” be said at the next FOMC press conference?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Stock” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – Sep 16, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
FOMC press conference
Stock
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the elevated inflation, GDP seems to be going pretty good and the stock market seems to be soaring, do you look around this economy and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…consumption and growth coming in the form of wealth effects with the stock market down, in the form of gas prices diverting spending from other…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that higher-income households tend to own real estate and tend to own stocks, stocks and securities, and those assets have been going up in value,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…are really driving spending right now. They’re backed by home equity and stock market wealth. But lowerincome consumers are really struggling with the accumulation of…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…weighted average maturity of our portfolio closer to that of the outstanding stock of Treasury securities, thus furthering the normalization of the composition of our…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Stock |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Stock” said at the FOMC press conference?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Stock” was not said at the FOMC press conference on the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 17, 2026.
- What is the probability “Stock” is said at the FOMC press conference next time?
- 28%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “FOMC press conference: ‘Stock’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/fomc-press-conference/words/stock (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=stock · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fomc-press-conference&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP