Will Donald Trump say “TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (83%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov
- Probability
- 51% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov |  Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 24, 2026 | TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 7, 2026 | TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 6, 2026 | TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (1 of 1 known appearance transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Nov 7, 2025 | TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (83%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/trumprx-or-trumprxgov (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=trumprx%20%2F%20trumprxgov · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP