Will Donald Trump say “Kamikaze”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Kamikaze” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
35%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kamikaze
- Probability
- 35% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Kamikaze |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Kamikaze | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Kamikaze | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Kamikaze | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kamikaze”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Kamikaze” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 16, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kamikaze” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kamikaze’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/kamikaze (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=kamikaze · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP