Will Donald Trump say “N Word”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “N Word” at any of the 11 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 31, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

36%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

N Word

Probability
36% · n=11
Settled
0/11 (0%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jun 7, 2026N WordPolymarketNo– (settled no · not found in what we could read (4 of 5 known appearances transcribed))
Apr 30, 2026N WordPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Mar 31, 2026N WordPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Feb 28, 2026N-WordPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Jan 31, 2026N WordPolymarketNo0
Dec 31, 2025N WordPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Dec 29, 2025N-wordPolymarketNo–
Dec 24, 2025N WordPolymarketNo–
Dec 22, 2025N WordPolymarketNo–
Nov 30, 2025N wordPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Oct 31, 2025N WordPolymarketNo– (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “N Word”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “N Word” at any of the 11 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 31, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “N Word” next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘N Word’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/n-word (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=n%20word · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP