Donald Trump: Monthly window, Oct 31, 2026

By Oct 31Monthly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

31 known appearances
7 of 31 known appearances transcribed Window: Oct 1, 2026 to Oct 31, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

20 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 5 of 5

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Google / Alphabet Yes1111✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
FedEx Yes22✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Dell Yes11✓65%n=13 from settlement history–
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz Yes13✓62%n=2 from settlement history–
Boeing Yes11✓44%n=18 from settlement history–
TikTok / ByteDance Yes–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Intel Yes–0–58%n=2 from settlement history–
NVIDIA Yes–0–56%n=13 from settlement history–
Stellantis Yes–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
BMW Yes–1––new new word, no probability yet–
Micron Yes–0–42%n=2 from settlement history–
Uber Yes–0–32%n=5 from settlement history–
Visa open11–61%n=2 from settlement history36¢ Polymarket
Oracle open–0––n=1 too little history for a probability36¢ Polymarket
Airbus open–0––new new word, no probability yet35¢ Polymarket
Caterpillar open–0––new new word, no probability yet36¢ Polymarket
Discord open–0––new new word, no probability yet26¢ Polymarket
Ferrari open–0––new new word, no probability yet34¢ Polymarket
Hyperliquid open–0––new new word, no probability yet25¢ Polymarket
Qualcomm open–0––new new word, no probability yet32¢ Polymarket

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-companies-will-trump-mention-in-october · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP