Will Donald Trump say “BMW”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “BMW” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=1, from prior), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Oct 13, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 98¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
BMW
- Probability
- 49% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…$30 million. What do they do? They buy a Mercedes, they buy BMWs, they buy a mansion, they buy a nice house, all their kids…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | BMW |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (7 of 31 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “BMW”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “BMW” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “BMW” next time?
- 49%, from the model (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘BMW’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bmw (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bmw · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP