# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-30 · 30 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25OCT30 · as_of 2026-10-25T18:26:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-30 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: v K, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25OCT30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with President Xi of the People's Republic of China, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p
Biden	biden	1	85	69	0.81	YYYYnnnYYY	0.76
Trillion	trillion	1	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.72
Peace	peace	1	17	12	0.71	YYnnYYnYYY	0.65
Stock Market	stock market	1	2	2	1	YY	0.64
Election	election	1	23	17	0.74	YnYYYnnYYY	0.62
Hottest	hottest	1	44	28	0.64	YnYnYnYYYY	0.62
Border	border	1	49	33	0.67	YYnYYnnYYY	0.58
Middle East	middle east	1	11	7	0.64	nYYYYYnnYY	0.56
Washington / White House	washington|white house	1	0	0			0.55
Nuclear	nuclear	1	50	33	0.66	YYYnnnYYYn	0.54
Tariff (3+ times)	tariff#3	3	7	5	0.71	YYnYYYn	0.5
Oil / Gas	gas|oil	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	6	3	0.5	nnYnYY	0.48
Kim / Jong Un	jong un|kim	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48
Russia	russia	1	43	24	0.56	YYYYnnnnYn	0.47
Investment	investment	1	16	7	0.44	nnnnYnnnYY	0.46
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	1	11	5	0.45	YnnYYnnnYY	0.45
Disaster	disaster	1	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	0.44
Covid / China Virus	china virus|covid	1	1	0	0	n	0.41
Putin	putin	1	52	32	0.62	nYYYnnnnYY	0.4
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	32	14	0.44	nnYnYYnnnn	0.4
Best Economy / Greatest Economy	best economy|greatest economy	1	1	0	0	n	0.38
Chip / Semiconductor	chip|semiconductor	1	1	0	0	n	0.37
Soybean	soybean	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.36
Taiwan	taiwan	1	8	2	0.25	nYnnnnYn	0.34
Farmer	farmer	1	7	3	0.43	YnYYnnn	0.32
TikTok	tiktok	1	29	7	0.24	nnnYnnnnnn	0.24
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	17	3	0.18	nnnnnnnnnn	0.24
Nobel	nobel	1	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.18
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	157	11	0.07	YYYnnnnnnn	0.16