Kevin Warsh
History Wall
41–99 of 99, most settled first · page 2 of 2| Word | Apr 21hearing | May 22speech | Jul 1keynote | Jul 14hearing | Aug 28remarks | Oct 15latest | Last 6 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation10+ times | Settled yes: Inflation 10+ times, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Inflation 10+ times, May 22 speech | Not listed: Inflation 10+ times, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Inflation 10+ times, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Inflation 10+ times, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Inflation 10+ times, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Job | Not listed: Job, Apr 21 hearing | Settled yes: Job, May 22 speech | Not listed: Job, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Job, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Job, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Job, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Labor | Settled yes: Labor, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Labor, May 22 speech | Not listed: Labor, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Labor, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Labor, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Labor, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Monetary Policy | Settled yes: Monetary Policy, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Monetary Policy, May 22 speech | Not listed: Monetary Policy, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Monetary Policy, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Monetary Policy, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Monetary Policy, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Price Stability | Settled yes: Price Stability, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Price Stability, May 22 speech | Not listed: Price Stability, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Price Stability, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Price Stability, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Price Stability, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Quantitative | Settled yes: Quantitative, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Quantitative, May 22 speech | Not listed: Quantitative, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Quantitative, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Quantitative, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Quantitative, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Regime | Not listed: Regime, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Regime, May 22 speech | Not listed: Regime, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Regime, Jul 14 hearing | Settled yes: Regime, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Regime, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Shock | Not listed: Shock, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Shock, May 22 speech | Not listed: Shock, Jul 1 keynote | Settled yes: Shock, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Shock, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Shock, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Stability | Not listed: Stability, Apr 21 hearing | Settled yes: Stability, May 22 speech | Not listed: Stability, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Stability, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Stability, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Stability, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Supreme Court | Not listed: Supreme Court, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Supreme Court, May 22 speech | Settled yes: Supreme Court, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Supreme Court, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Supreme Court, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Supreme Court, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Wife | Settled yes: Wife, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Wife, May 22 speech | Not listed: Wife, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Wife, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Wife, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Wife, Oct 15 panel | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 22 speech | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bernanke / Yellen / Powell | Not listed: Bernanke / Yellen / Powell, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Bernanke / Yellen / Powell, May 22 speech | Not listed: Bernanke / Yellen / Powell, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Bernanke / Yellen / Powell, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Bernanke / Yellen / Powell, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Bernanke / Yellen / Powell, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, May 22 speech | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bond Market | Not listed: Bond Market, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Bond Market, May 22 speech | Not listed: Bond Market, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Bond Market, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Bond Market, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Bond Market, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Central bank | Not listed: Central bank, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Central bank, May 22 speech | Not listed: Central bank, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Central bank, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Central bank, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Central bank, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China | Not listed: China, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: China, May 22 speech | Not listed: China, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: China, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: China, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: China, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Community | Not listed: Community, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Community, May 22 speech | Not listed: Community, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Community, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Community, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Community, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Congress | Not listed: Congress, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Congress, May 22 speech | Not listed: Congress, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Congress, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Congress, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Congress, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Cook | Settled no: Cook, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Cook, May 22 speech | Not listed: Cook, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Cook, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Cook, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Cook, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Dollar | Not listed: Dollar, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Dollar, May 22 speech | Not listed: Dollar, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Dollar, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Dollar, Aug 28 remarks | Settled no: Dollar, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Economy / Economics / Economic3+ times | Not listed: Economy / Economics / Economic 3+ times, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Economy / Economics / Economic 3+ times, May 22 speech | Not listed: Economy / Economics / Economic 3+ times, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Economy / Economics / Economic 3+ times, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Economy / Economics / Economic 3+ times, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Economy / Economics / Economic 3+ times, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Employment2+ times | Not listed: Employment 2+ times, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Employment 2+ times, May 22 speech | Not listed: Employment 2+ times, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Employment 2+ times, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Employment 2+ times, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Employment 2+ times, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epstein | Settled no: Epstein, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Epstein, May 22 speech | Not listed: Epstein, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Epstein, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Epstein, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Epstein, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Estee Lauder | Settled no: Estee Lauder, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Estee Lauder, May 22 speech | Not listed: Estee Lauder, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Estee Lauder, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Estee Lauder, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Estee Lauder, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Federal Reserve10+ times | Not listed: Federal Reserve 10+ times, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Federal Reserve 10+ times, May 22 speech | Not listed: Federal Reserve 10+ times, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Federal Reserve 10+ times, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Federal Reserve 10+ times, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Federal Reserve 10+ times, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Federal Reserve5+ times | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Federal Reserve 5+ times, May 22 speech | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Federal Reserve 5+ times, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Footprint | Not listed: Footprint, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Footprint, May 22 speech | Not listed: Footprint, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Footprint, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Footprint, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Footprint, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Framework | Not listed: Framework, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Framework, May 22 speech | Not listed: Framework, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Framework, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Framework, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Framework, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, May 22 speech | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Jul 1 keynote | Settled no: Gas / Gasoline, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 22 speech | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 28 remarks | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| God | Settled no: God, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: God, May 22 speech | Not listed: God, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: God, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: God, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: God, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gold | Not listed: Gold, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Gold, May 22 speech | Not listed: Gold, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Gold, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Gold, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Gold, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Good Day | Not listed: Good Day, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Good Day, May 22 speech | Not listed: Good Day, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Good Day, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Good Day, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Good Day, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Governor | Not listed: Governor, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Governor, May 22 speech | Not listed: Governor, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Governor, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Governor, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Governor, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| IMF | Settled no: IMF, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: IMF, May 22 speech | Not listed: IMF, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: IMF, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: IMF, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: IMF, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Inflation5+ times | Not listed: Inflation (5+ times), Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Inflation (5+ times), May 22 speech | Not listed: Inflation (5+ times), Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Inflation (5+ times), Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Inflation (5+ times), Aug 28 remarks | Settled no: Inflation (5+ times), Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ingenuity | Not listed: Ingenuity, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Ingenuity, May 22 speech | Not listed: Ingenuity, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Ingenuity, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Ingenuity, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Ingenuity, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Integrity | Not listed: Integrity, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Integrity, May 22 speech | Not listed: Integrity, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Integrity, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Integrity, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Integrity, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 22 speech | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jul 1 keynote | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Middle East | Not listed: Iran / Middle East, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Iran / Middle East, May 22 speech | Not listed: Iran / Middle East, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Iran / Middle East, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Iran / Middle East, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Iran / Middle East, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| War / Iran | Not listed: War / Iran, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: War / Iran, May 22 speech | Not listed: War / Iran, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: War / Iran, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: War / Iran, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: War / Iran, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Judy Shelton | Settled no: Judy Shelton, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Judy Shelton, May 22 speech | Not listed: Judy Shelton, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Judy Shelton, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Judy Shelton, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Judy Shelton, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Middle East | Not listed: Middle East, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Middle East, May 22 speech | Settled no: Middle East, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Middle East, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Middle East, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Middle East, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Payment System | Not listed: Payment System, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Payment System, May 22 speech | Not listed: Payment System, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Payment System, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Payment System, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Payment System, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Prediction / Predictive | Not listed: Prediction / Predictive, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Prediction / Predictive, May 22 speech | Not listed: Prediction / Predictive, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Prediction / Predictive, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Prediction / Predictive, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Prediction / Predictive, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Quantitative Tightening / QT | Not listed: Quantitative Tightening / QT, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Quantitative Tightening / QT, May 22 speech | Not listed: Quantitative Tightening / QT, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Quantitative Tightening / QT, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Quantitative Tightening / QT, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Quantitative Tightening / QT, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Restrictive | Not listed: Restrictive, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Restrictive, May 22 speech | Not listed: Restrictive, Jul 1 keynote | Settled no: Restrictive, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Restrictive, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Restrictive, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Stable5+ times | Not listed: Stable 5+ times, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Stable 5+ times, May 22 speech | Not listed: Stable 5+ times, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Stable 5+ times, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Stable 5+ times, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Stable 5+ times, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Stock Market | Not listed: Stock Market, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Stock Market, May 22 speech | Not listed: Stock Market, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Stock Market, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Stock Market, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Stock Market, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Supply Chain | Settled no: Supply Chain, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Supply Chain, May 22 speech | Not listed: Supply Chain, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Supply Chain, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Supply Chain, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Supply Chain, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Task Force5+ times | Not listed: Task Force 5+ times, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Task Force 5+ times, May 22 speech | Not listed: Task Force 5+ times, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Task Force 5+ times, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Task Force 5+ times, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Task Force 5+ times, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Too Late | Not listed: Too Late, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Too Late, May 22 speech | Not listed: Too Late, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Too Late, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Too Late, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Too Late, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump5+ times | Settled no: Trump 5+ times, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Trump 5+ times, May 22 speech | Not listed: Trump 5+ times, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Trump 5+ times, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Trump 5+ times, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Trump 5+ times, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Uncertainty | Not listed: Uncertainty, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Uncertainty, May 22 speech | Not listed: Uncertainty, Jul 1 keynote | Settled no: Uncertainty, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Uncertainty, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Uncertainty, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Unemployment | Not listed: Unemployment, Apr 21 hearing | Settled no: Unemployment, May 22 speech | Not listed: Unemployment, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Unemployment, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: Unemployment, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Unemployment, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Volcker | Not listed: Volcker, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Volcker, May 22 speech | Not listed: Volcker, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Volcker, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Volcker, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Volcker, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| World Bank | Settled no: World Bank, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: World Bank, May 22 speech | Not listed: World Bank, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: World Bank, Jul 14 hearing | Not listed: World Bank, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: World Bank, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Yield Curve | Not listed: Yield Curve, Apr 21 hearing | Not listed: Yield Curve, May 22 speech | Not listed: Yield Curve, Jul 1 keynote | Not listed: Yield Curve, Jul 14 hearing | Settled no: Yield Curve, Aug 28 remarks | Not listed: Yield Curve, Oct 15 panel | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
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