Will Kevin Warsh say “Dollar”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Dollar” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Dollar
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…sellers meet at prices for Treasuries—for the foreign exchange value of the dollar. And then trying to judge for ourselves—what does that mean about our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Dollar |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Dollar”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Dollar” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Dollar” next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Dollar’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/dollar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=dollar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP