Will Kevin Warsh say “Task Force” 5+ times?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Task Force” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2026.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=task%20force%20%285%2B%20times%29

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Where it was said

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Kevin Warsh

Task Force 5+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 2 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026In transcript

…economy. I care so much—I think it’s so important—that we established a task force that should report by the end of the year to help…

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, July 29, 2026 · Jul 29, 2026In transcript

I’ve called for a task force to revisit both the private and public data we use to make our decisionmaking. That task force is out…

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, June 17, 2026 · Jun 17, 2026In transcript

…words on a key initiative that we’re announcing today. I’m appointing a task force in each of five areas that are central to the broad…

What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks? · settled no

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What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In? · not listed

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What will Kevin Warsh say during his Senate Confirmation Hearing? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 28, 2026Task Force 5+ timesPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Kevin Warsh say “Task Force 5+ times”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Task Force” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2026.
What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Task Force 5+ times” next time?
23%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Task Force 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/task-force-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=task%20force%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP