Will Kevin Warsh say “Labor”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Labor” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Labor
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
One basic sign of strength is the state of America’s labor markets. The jobless—the jobless rate remains low at around 4.1 percent, and both job…
…at two o’clock, the economy—output is solid. Capex and productivity are strong— labor markets—solid, steady. The bond market—the Treasury market—it seems to be saying that…
…capture how the Committee thought about it, the Committee thought that the labor markets were stable. There were some people around the Committee who thought…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Labor |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Labor”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Labor” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Labor” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Labor’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/labor (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=labor · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP