Will Kevin Warsh say “Supreme Court”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Supreme Court” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 1, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Supreme Court
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | Supreme Court |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Supreme Court”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh said “Supreme Court” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Supreme Court” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP