Will Kevin Warsh say “Stable” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Stable” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Stable 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…most to gain from a durable expansion, a solid labor market, and stable prices. We at the Fed are unwavering in our vital and straightforward…
…bright streetlight? Finally, we discussed monetary policy tools and strategies for achieving stable prices. If, as the Fed has long held, interest rate policy should…
…Committee thought about it, the Committee thought that the labor markets were stable. There were some people around the Committee who thought that it was…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Stable 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Stable 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Stable” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Stable 5+ times” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Stable 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/stable-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=stable%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP