Will Kevin Warsh say “Congress”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Congress” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Congress
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…made today was the right decision to deliver on the remit that Congress gave us to ensure stable prices. Moreover, I would say, because of…
…days or weeks. But we’re going to deliver on the responsibility that Congress gave us, and today’s meeting—and the preparation for today’s meeting—was an important…
…to get monetary policy right is to deliver on the remit that Congress gave us to deliver on price stability. And there was no disagreement…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Congress |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Congress”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Congress” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Congress” next time?
- 25%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Congress’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/congress (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=congress · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP