Will Kevin Warsh say “Inflation” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Inflation” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Inflation (5+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little. But inflation remains elevated. Today’s policy action will support a timelier return to the…
Inflation remains elevated relative to the Committee’s 2 percent goal. The Committee remains resolute. You’ve heard this before, but we will deliver price stability. As…
…the workforce, and the unemployment rate has changed little. We recognize that inflation has been running well ahead of the Fed’s long-stated inflation goal of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Inflation (5+ times) |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Inflation (5+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Inflation” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Inflation (5+ times)” next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Inflation (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/inflation-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=inflation%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP