Will Kevin Warsh say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceKevin Warsh
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 0 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…until 2028. So I’m curious how patient you think the Fed can afford to be at this juncture in terms of waiting for one-time inflation…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” next time?
- 21%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP