Will Kevin Warsh say “Supply Chain”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Supply Chain” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Kevin Warsh

Supply Chain

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 1 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Kevin WarshspeakerFOMC press conference, July 29, 2026 · Jul 29, 2026In transcript

…my colleagues and I considered the economic shocks of recent years. Strained supply chains arising from the pandemic, military conflicts, energy supply disruptions, substantial increases…

What will Kevin Warsh say during his fireside chat with International Monetary Fund? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his ECB discussion? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Kevin Warsh say during his Senate Confirmation Hearing? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 21, 2026Supply ChainPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Kevin Warsh say “Supply Chain”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Supply Chain” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.
What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Supply Chain” next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Supply Chain’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/supply-chain (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=supply%20chain · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP