Will Kevin Warsh say “Central bank”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Central bank” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Central bank
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Asheville at the G-20 meeting, which the U.S. hosted; and at a central bank conference in Basel—it was evident that most advanced economies are facing…
…a change for the better—and we’re just getting started. After all, the central bank need not always and everywhere be the center of attention. I…
…unanimous and unambiguous on it. It has been the practice of this central bank and others to have a range of alternatives. Today we had…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Central bank |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Central bank”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Central bank” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Central bank” next time?
- 25%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Central bank’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/central-bank (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=central%20bank · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP