Will Kevin Warsh say “Employment” 2+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Employment” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press conferences; Jun 17, 2026 – Sep 16, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (2+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kevin Warsh
Employment 2+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on a four-week moving average, are running at levels consistent with full employment. So the labor side of the Fed’s congressional remit is in good…
…in their sources—do they also differ in their effects on output and employment? Third, we took up the related question of price increases arising from…
…to serve our legislative remit, which you’ve heard us say before—price stability and maximum employment—and these objectives guided our business in the meeting just concluded.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Employment 2+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Kevin Warsh say “Employment 2+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kevin Warsh did not say “Employment” 2+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Kevin Warsh says “Employment 2+ times” next time?
- 25%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kevin Warsh: ‘Employment 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/kevin-warsh/words/employment-2plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kevin-warsh&word=employment%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kevin-warsh&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP