Tesla (TSLA)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 242 word markets on Tesla’s earnings calls and other events since 2025, on 109 different words; most reliably said: “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” (7 of 7). Next call: Jan 27, 2027 (20 words listed).
| Word | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25year ago | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cybercab | 0 times: Cybercab, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 8 times: Cybercab, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 5 times: Cybercab, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Cybercab, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 17 times: Cybercab, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 6 times: Cybercab, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 17 times: Cybercab, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 23 times: Cybercab, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 8/6213% | 95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 72¢ Kalshi |
| Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | 7 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 4 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 10 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 6 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 7 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 6 times: Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 45/6273% | 93%n=7+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| SpaceX / xAI | 2 times: SpaceX / xAI, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: SpaceX / xAI, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 7 times: SpaceX / xAI, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: SpaceX / xAI, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: SpaceX / xAI, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: SpaceX / xAI, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 6 times: SpaceX / xAI, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 5 times: SpaceX / xAI, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 3/838% | 20/6232% | 92%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 2 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 26 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 10 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 7 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 18/6229% | 91%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Solar | 7 times: Solar, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Solar, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 4 times: Solar, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Solar, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 9 times: Solar, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 7 times: Solar, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 10 times: Solar, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Solar, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 5/862% | 43/6269% | 91%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Semi | 5 times: Semi, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Semi, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Semi, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 5 times: Semi, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Semi, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Semi, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 10 times: Semi, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 3 times: Semi, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 32/6252% | 90%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 72¢ Kalshi |
| China | 10 times: China, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 28 times: China, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: China, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: China, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 10 times: China, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: China, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: China, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 2 times: China, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 5/862% | 45/6273% | 85%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 82¢ Kalshi |
| Terafab | 0 times: Terafab, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Terafab, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Terafab, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Terafab, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Terafab, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 6 times: Terafab, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 6 times: Terafab, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 4 times: Terafab, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/625% | 84%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Competition | 0 times: Competition, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Competition, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Competition, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Competition, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Competition, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Competition, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Competition, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Competition, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 5/862% | 10/6216% | 82%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 82¢ Kalshi |
| Megapack 3 | 0 times: Megapack 3, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Megapack 3, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Megapack 3, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Megapack 3, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Megapack 3, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Megapack 3, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Megapack 3, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Megapack 3, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 5/862% | 5/628% | 70%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Cybertruck | 0 times: Cybertruck, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 3 times: Cybertruck, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Cybertruck, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Cybertruck, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 6 times: Cybertruck, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Cybertruck, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Cybertruck, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Cybertruck, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 4/850% | 2/825% | 25/6240% | 66%n=7+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 60¢ Kalshi |
| Roadster | 1 time: Roadster, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Roadster, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Roadster, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Roadster, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Roadster, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Roadster, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Roadster, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 2 times: Roadster, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 2/825% | 27/6244% | 59%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Samsung | 0 times: Samsung, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Samsung, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Samsung, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 8 times: Samsung, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Samsung, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Samsung, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Samsung, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Samsung, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 4/850% | 0/80% | 6/6210% | 49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 40¢ Kalshi |
| Supercharger / Super Charger | 0 times: Supercharger / Super Charger, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Supercharger / Super Charger, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Supercharger / Super Charger, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 4 times: Supercharger / Super Charger, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Supercharger / Super Charger, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Supercharger / Super Charger, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Supercharger / Super Charger, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Supercharger / Super Charger, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 3/838% | 1/812% | 25/6240% | 44%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 35¢ Kalshi |
| Grok3+ times | 0 times: Grok (3+ times), Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Grok (3+ times), Q1’25 Apr '25, below the threshold | 2 times: Grok (3+ times), Q2’25 Jul '25, below the threshold | 12 times: Grok (3+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Grok (3+ times), Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Grok (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Grok (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Grok (3+ times), Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 4/850% | 0/80% | 4/626% | 42%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 34¢ Kalshi |
| Merge / Merger | 0 times: Merge / Merger, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Merge / Merger, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Merge / Merger, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Merge / Merger, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Merge / Merger, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Merge / Merger, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Merge / Merger, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 2 times: Merge / Merger, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 3/625% | 37%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 64¢ Kalshi |
| Waymo | 0 times: Waymo, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 6 times: Waymo, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Waymo, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Waymo, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Waymo, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 3 times: Waymo, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Waymo, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Waymo, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 5/628% | 34%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 16¢ Kalshi |
| Intel | 0 times: Intel, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Intel, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Intel, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Intel, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Intel, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Intel, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Intel, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Intel, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 2/825% | 0/80% | 4/626% | 32%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 22¢ Kalshi |
| Gigafactory | 1 time: Gigafactory, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Gigafactory, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Gigafactory, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Gigafactory, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Gigafactory, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Gigafactory, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Gigafactory, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Gigafactory, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 2/825% | 2/825% | 29/6247% | 15%n=7+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 15¢ Kalshi |
| Miami | 0 times: Miami, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Miami, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Miami, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Miami, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Miami, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Miami, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Miami, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Miami, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/622% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 22¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 22:11 UTC.
Every word
1–40 of 97, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Jan '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimus | 38 times: Optimus, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 16 times: Optimus, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 25 times: Optimus, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 37 times: Optimus, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 31 times: Optimus, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 29 times: Optimus, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 57 times: Optimus, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 43 times: Optimus, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 19/6231% | 98%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Robotaxi | 0 times: Robotaxi, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 11 times: Robotaxi, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 8 times: Robotaxi, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 10 times: Robotaxi, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 15 times: Robotaxi, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 26 times: Robotaxi, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 26 times: Robotaxi, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 15 times: Robotaxi, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 24/6239% | 97%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Full Self-Driving / FSD | 32 times: Full Self-Driving / FSD, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 7 times: Full Self-Driving / FSD, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 18 times: Full Self-Driving / FSD, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 17 times: Full Self-Driving / FSD, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 12 times: Full Self-Driving / FSD, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 29 times: Full Self-Driving / FSD, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 17 times: Full Self-Driving / FSD, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 21 times: Full Self-Driving / FSD, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 34/6255% | 26%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| SpaceX | 2 times: SpaceX, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: SpaceX, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: SpaceX, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 4 times: SpaceX, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 7 times: SpaceX, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 5 times: SpaceX, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 2/825% | 17/6227% | 83%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Trump | 0 times: Trump, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Trump, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Trump, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Trump, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Trump, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 2/623% | 14%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Autonomous | 10 times: Autonomous, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 18 times: Autonomous, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Autonomous, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Autonomous, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 19 times: Autonomous, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Autonomous, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Autonomous, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 6 times: Autonomous, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 31/6250% | 94%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency | 0 times: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 7 times: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 1/812% | 1/812% | 2/623% | 16%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Battery | 8 times: Battery, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 13 times: Battery, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 6 times: Battery, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 7 times: Battery, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 6 times: Battery, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 9 times: Battery, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 9 times: Battery, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Battery, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 57/6292% | 93%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Delivery | 7 times: Delivery, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: Delivery, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Delivery, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 6 times: Delivery, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Delivery, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Delivery, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Delivery, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 10 times: Delivery, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 53/6285% | 93%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Energy | 12 times: Energy, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 16 times: Energy, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 10 times: Energy, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 12 times: Energy, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 4 times: Energy, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 8 times: Energy, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 11 times: Energy, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: Energy, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 52/6284% | 94%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| America | 8 times: America, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 11 times: America, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 4 times: America, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: America, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: America, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: America, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 5 times: America, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 4 times: America, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 6/875% | 54/6287% | 90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Elon / Musk | 21 times: Elon / Musk, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 17 times: Elon / Musk, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 19 times: Elon / Musk, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 19 times: Elon / Musk, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 13 times: Elon / Musk, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 11 times: Elon / Musk, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 18 times: Elon / Musk, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 20 times: Elon / Musk, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 56/6290% | 96%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Robot | 17 times: Robot, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 9 times: Robot, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 9 times: Robot, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 25 times: Robot, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 20 times: Robot, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Robot, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 11 times: Robot, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 21 times: Robot, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 25/6240% | 97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Robotaxi5+ times | 1 time: Robotaxi 5+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, below the threshold | 12 times: Robotaxi 5+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 14 times: Robotaxi 5+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 11 times: Robotaxi 5+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 15 times: Robotaxi 5+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 27 times: Robotaxi 5+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 30 times: Robotaxi 5+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 22 times: Robotaxi 5+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 3/838% | 11/6218% | 89%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Software | 3 times: Software, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 8 times: Software, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 3 times: Software, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 10 times: Software, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 7 times: Software, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 9 times: Software, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Software, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 10 times: Software, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 49/6279% | 94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Subscription | 0 times: Subscription, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Subscription, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 2 times: Subscription, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Subscription, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 2 times: Subscription, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Subscription, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Subscription, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 5 times: Subscription, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 15/6224% | 82%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Texas | 4 times: Texas, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Texas, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Texas, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Texas, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Texas, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Texas, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Texas, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 3 times: Texas, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 4/850% | 27/6244% | 84%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Grok | 0 times: Grok, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Grok, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Grok, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 12 times: Grok, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: Grok, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Grok, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Grok, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Grok, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 6/875% | 3/838% | 8/6213% | 22%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Grok4 | 0 times: Grok4, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Grok4, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Grok4, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Grok4, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Grok4, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Grok4, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Grok4, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Grok4, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/622% | 19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| James Bondnever said | 0 times: James Bond, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: James Bond, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: James Bond, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: James Bond, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: James Bond, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: James Bond, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: James Bond, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: James Bond, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/620% | 15%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Powerwall | 3 times: Powerwall, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Powerwall, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Powerwall, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: Powerwall, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Powerwall, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Powerwall, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Powerwall, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Powerwall, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 5/862% | 5/862% | 29/6247% | 33%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Safety Monitor | 0 times: Safety Monitor, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Safety Monitor, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Safety Monitor, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Safety Monitor, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 4 times: Safety Monitor, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Safety Monitor, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Safety Monitor, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Safety Monitor, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 2/623% | 44%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Grok 5 | 0 times: Grok 5, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Grok 5, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Grok 5, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Grok 5, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Grok 5, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Grok 5, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Grok 5, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Grok 5, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/622% | 15%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Inflation | 0 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Inflation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Inflation, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 12/6219% | 22%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Iran / Middle Eastnever said | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/620% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Semi Truck | 0 times: Semi Truck, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Semi Truck, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Semi Truck, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 3 times: Semi Truck, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Semi Truck, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Semi Truck, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Semi Truck, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: Semi Truck, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 11/6218% | 43%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Six-Seater / Six-Seatnever said | 0 times: Six-Seater / Six-Seat, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Six-Seater / Six-Seat, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Six-Seater / Six-Seat, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Six-Seater / Six-Seat, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Six-Seater / Six-Seat, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Six-Seater / Six-Seat, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Six-Seater / Six-Seat, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Six-Seater / Six-Seat, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/620% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Street Legalnever said | 0 times: Street Legal, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Street Legal, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Street Legal, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Street Legal, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Street Legal, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Street Legal, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Street Legal, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Street Legal, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/620% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| 2028 | 0 times: 2028, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: 2028, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: 2028, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: 2028, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: 2028, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: 2028, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: 2028, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 4 times: 2028, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/622% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Affordable | 1 time: Affordable, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: Affordable, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 5 times: Affordable, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Affordable, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Affordable, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Affordable, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Affordable, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Affordable, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 5/862% | 4/850% | 36/6258% | 50%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 15 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 13 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 23 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 62 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 19 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 18 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 23 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 17 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 30/6248% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence10+ times | 18 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 14 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 26 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 67 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 19 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 18 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 23 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 17 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 5/862% | 15/6224% | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Car10+ times | 46 times: Car 10+ times, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 67 times: Car 10+ times, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 30 times: Car 10+ times, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 39 times: Car 10+ times, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 23 times: Car 10+ times, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 19 times: Car 10+ times, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 24 times: Car 10+ times, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 26 times: Car 10+ times, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 5/862% | 56/6290% | 84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| China3+ times | 10 times: China 3+, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 28 times: China 3+, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: China 3+, Q2’25 Jul '25, below the threshold | 3 times: China 3+, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 10 times: China 3+, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: China 3+, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: China 3+, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 2 times: China 3+, Q3’26 Oct '26, below the threshold | falling | 5/862% | 3/838% | 30/6248% | 55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Chip | 0 times: Chip, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 2 times: Chip, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 10 times: Chip, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 19 times: Chip, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 25 times: Chip, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 17 times: Chip, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 10 times: Chip, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: Chip, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 22/6235% | 95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Demand | 6 times: Demand, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 4 times: Demand, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 5 times: Demand, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 7 times: Demand, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 6 times: Demand, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 9 times: Demand, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 13 times: Demand, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: Demand, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 59/6295% | 94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| DOGE | 0 times: DOGE, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 5 times: DOGE, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: DOGE, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: DOGE, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: DOGE, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: DOGE, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: DOGE, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: DOGE, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/622% | 24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Dojo | 0 times: Dojo, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Dojo, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 5 times: Dojo, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Dojo, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Dojo, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Dojo, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Dojo, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Dojo, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 2/825% | 1/812% | 14/6223% | 34%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Dojo / Dojo3 | 0 times: Dojo / Dojo3, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Dojo / Dojo3, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 5 times: Dojo / Dojo3, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Dojo / Dojo3, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Dojo / Dojo3, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Dojo / Dojo3, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Dojo / Dojo3, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Dojo / Dojo3, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 2/825% | 1/812% | 14/6223% | 36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Factory | 16 times: Factory, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 21 times: Factory, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 5 times: Factory, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 5 times: Factory, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 19 times: Factory, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 9 times: Factory, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 8 times: Factory, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 11 times: Factory, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 59/6295% | 96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 240 of 242 settled words resolved (99.2%). How we check.
Citeparrot.markets, “Tesla (TSLA): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tesla · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tesla · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP