Will Tesla say “Merge / Merger”?
Tesla said “Merge / Merger” 2 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Merge / Merger” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 64¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Merge / Merger
- Probability
- 37% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
With regard to a potential merger with SpaceX, I think I said everything that should be said yesterday, tap dancing through a minefield there. That's…
…said, we will not be addressing any questions today on a potential merger with SpaceX. With that, the first question comes from Tom, from RBC.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Merge / Merger |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Merge / Merger | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Merge / Merger | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Merge / Merger” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Merge / Merger” 2 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Merge / Merger”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Merge / Merger” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Merge / Merger” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Merge / Merger’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/merge-or-merger (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=merge%20%2F%20merger · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP