Will Tesla say “Solar”?
Tesla said “Solar” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 7, 0, 4, 4, 9, 7, 10, 1 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, Tesla said “Solar” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 91% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 85¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Solar
- Probability
- 91% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…more Robotaxi fleet, we expand our production capacity for Optimus, install manufacturing capacity for solar, purchase additional SI compute infrastructure, and build a semiconductor fab.
…Megapack side, and you've got some goals to bring on your own solar manufacturing, but I was just hoping to get a little bit more…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: anyone
10 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).
…refinery, the cathode refinery. We're scaling up battery cell production. We're also preparing to do a massive solar panel, like solar cells and panel production.
…expand our production capacity for Optimus, make investments for semiconductor fab, install solar manufacturing capacity, and AI compute infrastructure, in addition to all the other…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
…to support Robotaxi and the launch of Optimus. We've already started placing orders for the research semiconductor fab in Austin and for solar manufacturing equipment.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Tesla say “Solar” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Solar” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 7, 0, 4, 4, 9, 7, 10, 1 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Solar”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tesla said “Solar” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (67%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Solar” next time?
- 91%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Solar’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/solar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=solar · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP