Will Tesla say “Terafab”?
Tesla said “Terafab” 4 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 6, 6, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Terafab” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 84% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 88¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Terafab
- Probability
- 84% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…close to Tesla with respect to a general-purpose humanoid robot. Regarding the Terafab, the Austin-based research fab is progressing quickly. We'll begin commissioning machinery in…
…volume around Q3 of 2028. As I've said publicly on X, the Terafab I think will be the most valuable building in the world and…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…then superhuman dexterity. It's really going to be quite something. Let's see, Terafab. The Terafab, we expect to announce a location soon, and provide more…
…spotlight and not be squeezed into an earnings call. I do think Terafab is going to be an amazing initiative and a necessary one, and…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Yeah. We're still working out the details of the Terafab deployment. In the near term, Tesla will be building the research fab on our Giga…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Tesla say “Terafab” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Terafab” 4 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 6, 6, 4 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Terafab”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Terafab” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Terafab” next time?
- 84%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Terafab’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/terafab (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=terafab · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP