Will Tesla say “Waymo”?
Tesla did not say “Waymo” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 6, 2, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Waymo” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (33%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 15¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Waymo
- Probability
- 34% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…the left turn lane in Austin because, I kid you not, a Waymo had crashed into a bus. They could not turn left because the…
…to move, but the bus was never going to move because the Waymo was crashed into the bus. That obviously drives people crazy if there's…
Counts: company speakers
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…point for that would be -- if you compare, say, Tesla to Waymo, Waymo has got -- the car is festooned with God knows how…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…winner-take-most market? And as you approach the Austin launch, how do you expect to compare against Waymo's offering, especially regarding pricing, geofencing and regulatory flexibility?
…low volume. Teslas are probably cost 25% or 20% of what a Waymo costs and made in very high volume. So, ironically, like, we’re the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Tesla say “Waymo” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla did not say “Waymo” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 6, 2, 0, 0, 3, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Waymo”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Waymo” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (33%), most recently on Jul 23, 2025.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Waymo” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Waymo’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/waymo (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=waymo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP