Will Tesla say “Margin”?
Tesla said “Margin” 8 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 3, 6, 5, 9, 3, 7, 8 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, Tesla said “Margin” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Margin
- Probability
- 93% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
8 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…rapidly for our vehicles. It is exceeding our production by a significant margin. Obviously, we are going to be ramping, and we are ramping production…
…Megapacks for 2027, and we are ramping production as quickly as possible to meet demand. We also expect gross margins on that to increase meaningfully.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…monetization will come from subscriptions as we've removed the purchase option in most markets. Automotive margins, excluding regulatory credits, declined sequentially from 19.2% to 16.3%.
…the impact of those benefits from the prior quarter, our automotive gross margins, excluding credits, would have been approximately flat. This demonstrates the effective pricing…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…biggest limiter continues to be our battery pack capacity, and we are actively working on resolving that. Auto margins, excluding credits, improved sequentially from 17.9%-19.2%.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Margin |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Margin” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Margin” 8 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 4, 3, 6, 5, 9, 3, 7, 8 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Margin”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tesla said “Margin” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Margin” next time?
- 93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Margin’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/margin (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=margin · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP