Will Tesla say “Robotaxi” 5+ times?
Tesla said “Robotaxi” 22 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 5+ times on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 12, 14, 11, 15, 27, 30, 22 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Robotaxi” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 89% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Robotaxi 5+ times
- Probability
- 89% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
22 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 18 in Q&A).
…are now headed for a lot of fun and significant growth. Regarding Robotaxi, we are seeing the Robotaxi miles driven or fully autonomous miles driven…
…of the businesses in services and other, including Supercharging and insurance. The Robotaxi business, which is part of services and others, continued to grow with…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
26 counted (17 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…infrastructure and manufacturing capacity ever in history. It's a big deal. With Robotaxi, our goals are very ambitious for Robotaxi, but we do need to…
…to injure anyone. We're going as fast as humanly possible in scaling Robotaxi, but while trying to ensure that we do not harm anyone at…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
26 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 19 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
For Full Self-Driving and Robotaxi, version 14.3 was a major architectural update, and we have a whole pipeline of major improvements to Full Self-Driving that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Robotaxi 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 22 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Robotaxi 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | 11 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Robotaxi” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Robotaxi” 22 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and 5+ times on 7 of its last 8 calls: 1, 12, 14, 11, 15, 27, 30, 22 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Robotaxi 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Robotaxi” 5+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Robotaxi 5+ times” next time?
- 89%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Robotaxi 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/robotaxi-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=robotaxi%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP