Will Tesla say “SpaceX”?
Tesla said “SpaceX” 5 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 4, 7, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “SpaceX” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (60%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 83% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
- Market
- 88¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
SpaceX
- Probability
- 83% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…ever. That is a testament to amazing work by the Tesla and SpaceX teams. We have also been laying the groundwork for a lot more…
With regard to a potential merger with SpaceX, I think I said everything that should be said yesterday, tap dancing through a minefield there. That's…
Counts: anyone
7 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…what to do. It's got to have a generalized touch screen and computer use capability. That's looking promising and this is in partnership with SpaceX.
…was positively impacted by a mark-to-market gain of $1 billion on our SpaceX holdings, which was offset by losses on FX of approximately $300 million…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…starts a month, to make sure that a production process is sound. SpaceX is going to take care of the initial phase of the scaled…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Tesla say “SpaceX” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “SpaceX” 5 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 4, 7, 5 times.
- How often does Tesla say “SpaceX”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “SpaceX” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 23, 2025 (60%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “SpaceX” next time?
- 83%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘SpaceX’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/spacex (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=spacex · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP