Will Tesla say “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation”?
Tesla said “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” 6 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 4, 10, 6, 1, 4, 7, 6 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=7, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 7 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation
- Probability
- 93% · n=7
- Settled
- 7/7 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…how does the Cybercab fleet scale past Austin, and what is the regulatory path outside Texas given NHTSA's open safety review? Ashok, did you want…
We are actively working with the regulators in China because I do not know if you saw this, but we have released our safety report…
Counts: company speakers + operator
7 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…about almost any of those. If we injure even one person, it'll be worldwide headline news, and regulators will immediately clamp down on our activities.
…monetization will come from subscriptions as we've removed the purchase option in most markets. Automotive margins, excluding regulatory credits, declined sequentially from 19.2% to 16.3%.
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…EU-wide approval later in Q2, and we're just gated by how the regulators go about it. Additionally, we've also received approvals in China. The broader…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation |  Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Regulator / Regulation / Regulatory |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | Kalshi | Yes | 10 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” 6 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 4, 10, 6, 1, 4, 7, 6 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” next time?
- 93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/regulation-or-regulator-or-regulatory (CC BY 4.0)
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