Will Tesla say “Chip”?
Tesla said “Chip” 7 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 10, 19, 25, 17, 10, 7 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Chip” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 95% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Chip
- Probability
- 95% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…year, and hopefully, if things go well, we'll make our first test chip just to see if we can make any chip at all around…
…development-related activities, including SI development costs such as depreciation from additional compute, chip development, and pre-production ramp costs for new products like the Optimus,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
10 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
…ability to scale Optimus production, because we simply won't have enough AI chips. It's crucial to solve that, and we'll have to solve memory, logic,…
…think, is pretty cool because it's intended to have lithography mask production, and then logic, memory and packaging and chip testing all under one roof.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
13 counted (6 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…in and improving our core technologies, battery powertrain, AI software, AI training, chip design, laying the groundwork for significantly increased manufacturing production. We are also…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Chip |  Polymarket | Yes | 25 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Chip” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Chip” 7 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 10, 19, 25, 17, 10, 7 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Chip”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Chip” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Chip” next time?
- 95%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Chip’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/chip (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=chip · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP