Will Tesla say “Trump”?

Tesla did not say “Trump” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Trump” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (20%), most recently on Apr 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

14%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Trump

Probability
14% · n=5
Settled
1/5 (20%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…the country back on the right track and working together with President Trump and his administration. Because if the ship of America goes down, we…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 22, 2026TrumpKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026TrumpKalshiNo0
Oct 22, 2025TrumpPolymarketNo0
Jul 23, 2025TrumpKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2025TrumpPolymarketYes1

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Trump” on its last earnings call?
Tesla did not say “Trump” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Tesla say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Trump” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (20%), most recently on Apr 22, 2025.
What is the probability Tesla says “Trump” next time?
14%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP