Will Tesla say “Texas”?

Tesla said “Texas” 3 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 0, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3 times. As of Oct 26, 2026, Tesla said “Texas” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 84% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

84%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Texas

Probability
84% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Travis Axelrodcompanyqa · 17:53Hear it 17:47, Travis Axelrod In transcript

…Cybercab fleet scale past Austin, and what is the regulatory path outside Texas given NHTSA's open safety review? Ashok, did you want to take that?

Lars Moravycompanyqa · 26:44Hear it 26:42, Lars Moravy In transcript

…this year, 2026. Obviously, we are producing them in our line in Texas, but all of those are currently going to our own internal Robotaxi…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 5:19Hear it 5:13, Elon Musk In transcript

…We've opened up in a number of cities in Florida and in Texas, obviously in the Bay Area. We'll continue to scale, I think, very…

Elon Muskcompanyqa · 32:27Hear it 32:21, Elon Musk In transcript

…TSMC, in particular, are building fabs, TSMC in Arizona and Samsung in Texas, and putting in $ tens of billions to build AI compute for…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…next year, and we're constructing a second Optimus factory at our Giga Texas location, and that will probably start production around summer next year. The…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026TexasPolymarketYes3
Jul 22, 2026TexasPolymarketYes2

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Texas” on its last earnings call?
Tesla said “Texas” 3 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 0, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3 times.
How often does Tesla say “Texas”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Tesla said “Texas” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 22, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Tesla says “Texas” next time?
84%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Texas’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/texa (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=texa · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP