Will Tesla say “Battery”?

Tesla said “Battery” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 8, 13, 6, 7, 6, 9, 9, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Battery” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

93%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Battery

Probability
93% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Vaibhav Tanejacompanyprepared · 10:32Hear it 10:26, Vaibhav Taneja In transcript

…add is we also started deliveries of Megapacks with our in-house LFP batteries. For the first time, two consecutive quarters of vehicle deliveries of over…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

9 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elon Muskcompanyprepared · 3:06Hear it 3:05, Elon Musk In transcript

…started production with the lithium refinery, the cathode refinery. We're scaling up battery cell production. We're also preparing to do a massive solar panel, like…

Vaibhav Tanejacompanyprepared · 16:45Hear it 16:43, Vaibhav Taneja In transcript

…our factories to meet this growing demand. Production growth will be limited by our supply chain. This includes not just batteries, but also electronic components.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

9 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…a very big way. We're investing in and improving our core technologies, battery powertrain, AI software, AI training, chip design, laying the groundwork for significantly…

Vaibhav TanejacompanypreparedIn transcript

…but across all our factories. Our biggest limiter continues to be our battery pack capacity, and we are actively working on resolving that. Auto margins,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · said 13 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 22, 2026BatteryKalshiYes9
Jan 28, 2026BatteryKalshiYes6
Oct 22, 2025BatteryKalshiYes7

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Battery” on its last earnings call?
Tesla said “Battery” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 8, 13, 6, 7, 6, 9, 9, 1 times.
How often does Tesla say “Battery”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Battery” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
What is the probability Tesla says “Battery” next time?
93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Battery’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/battery (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=battery · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP