Will Tesla say “Cybertruck”?
Tesla said “Cybertruck” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 3, 0, 0, 6, 0, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Cybertruck” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (43%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=7, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 60¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Cybertruck
- Probability
- 66% · n=7
- Settled
- 3/7 (43%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…we get into an FSD drive?" They're not asking for 3/Y or Cybertruck. They're saying, "Can we get an FSD drive?" That has become the…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we've ever seen. Just the Tesla team has performed incredibly well. The Cybertruck has started production, and we also have started production. Well, we will…
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).
Great. Moving on to the next question. After the unveil of the Cybertruck, Elon stated that if it didn't sell well, Tesla would build a…
Actually, in its segment, CyberTruck can be a leader and is selling more than any other electric truck out there. Our competition continues to pull…
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Cybertruck |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Cybertruck |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cybertruck | Polymarket | No | 1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Cybertruck | Kalshi | No | 1 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Cybertruck | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Cybertruck | Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Cybertruck | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Cybertruck | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Cybertruck | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Cybertruck | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Cybertruck” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Cybertruck” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 3, 0, 0, 6, 0, 1, 1 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Cybertruck”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Cybertruck” at 3 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (43%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Cybertruck” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Cybertruck’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/cybertruck (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=cybertruck · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP