Will Tesla say “Delivery”?
Tesla said “Delivery” 10 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 3, 2, 6, 5, 4, 4, 10 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Delivery” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Delivery
- Probability
- 93% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
10 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…of them. Additionally, which I like to add is we also started deliveries of Megapacks with our in-house LFP batteries. For the first time, two…
…to get every aspect dialed in, from supply chain to manufacturing to delivery logistics. The Model Y continued to outperform in the quarter and set…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
Thank you. Yeah, it's been a great quarter. We achieved record Q2 deliveries. Model Y, I think it's the best-selling car of any kind in…
…in demand for our vehicles across the globe. We achieved record Q2 deliveries globally with sequential growth across the Americas, APAC and EMEA of 60%,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…certain countries like France and Germany showing over 150% quarter-over-quarter growth in deliveries. In APAC, we witnessed growth in South Korea and Japan, again, in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Tesla say “Delivery” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Delivery” 10 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 3, 2, 6, 5, 4, 4, 10 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Delivery”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Delivery” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Delivery” next time?
- 93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Delivery’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/delivery (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=delivery · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP