Will Tesla say “Autonomous”?
Tesla said “Autonomous” 6 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 18, 2, 3, 19, 2, 4, 6 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Autonomous” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 94% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Autonomous
- Probability
- 94% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…growth. Regarding Robotaxi, we are seeing the Robotaxi miles driven or fully autonomous miles driven scale exponentially, meaning scaling very rapidly. It would be hard…
…and the fleet management that Tesla has for it to be fully autonomous. We suspect somewhere around Q2 next year is when we can turn…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…solve. It's one of the hardest things to solve, to make an autonomous humanoid robot that can do tasks that if you simply ask it…
…to create compelling products at a reasonable price with the capability of autonomous driving are coming to fruition. We exited Q2 with our largest order…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…time, it's going to make sense for our whole lineup to be autonomous vehicles of different sizes. I did talk a bit about this when…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Autonomous |  Kalshi | Yes | 19 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Autonomous | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Autonomous | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Autonomous | Kalshi | Yes | 18 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Autonomous” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla said “Autonomous” 6 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 10, 18, 2, 3, 19, 2, 4, 6 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Autonomous”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla said “Autonomous” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Autonomous” next time?
- 94%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Autonomous’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/autonomous (CC BY 4.0)
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